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DTN Midday Grain Comments 09/22 10:48
Corn, Wheat Lower at Midday; Soybeans Mixed
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday, soybean futures are narrowly
mixed, and wheat futures are 7 to 11 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday, soybean futures are narrowly
mixed, and wheat futures are 7 to 11 cents lower. The U.S. stock market is
mixed at midday with the S&P 3 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index is 12 points
higher. The interest rate products are mixed. Energy trade is mixed with crude
1.15 lower and natural gas .08 cents higher. Livestock trade is mixed with hogs
leading. Precious metals are mixed with gold off 8.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are is 2 to 3 cents lower at midday with trade fading a bit
from the gains on Monday, with overall rangebound action expected to continue
short term as we continue to ease into harvest. Ethanol margins remain short
term. The daily export wire was quiet again today. Weather looks ease the
recent rainy conditions, but some look to return later in the week with weekly
crop progress showing good to excellent unchanged at 57% and poor to very poor
at 17% with 58% mature vs. 54% on average, and 13% harvested vs. 11% on
average. Basis will likely continue to drift short term. On the December chart
the 20-day at $5.35 is support which we popped back through yesterday with the
resistance the highs at 5.48 1/2.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are narrowly mixed at midday with trade easing the sharp
gains seen Monday overnight but coming back to flat during the day session as
we wait for the talks with China this week. Meal is 2.00 to 3.00 higher, and
oil is 80 to 90 points lower. Harvest should pick up in the drier areas with
rains to keep in slow in some areas with weekly crop progress showing
conditions nearly unchanged at 58% good to excellent and 14% poor to very poor
with 62% dropping leaves vs. 58% on average, and 12% harvested vs. 8% on
average. The daily export wire was quiet again today. Basis will start to drift
lower if harvest can expand next week. On the November contract chart support
is the 20-day at 12.94 where we find the 20-day moving average with resistance
the recent high at 13.35.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 7 to 11 cents lower at midday with action fading back to
the lower end of the range after the strong start to the week as we continue to
chop around short term. Better rains into late month should help support early
wheat drilling on the plains with 17% planted vs. 21% on average and 2% emerged
vs. 4% on average. Matif wheat is lightly weaker so far today. On the KC
December chart resistance is the 20-day at $8.07 which we closed just below
with the lower Bollinger Band at 7.62 as support.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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